Strategies for innovating into the future:
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Jump The Curve Archives: 04/2008
What Could Be Better Than Free Money? Try Exponential Growth.
As a result of my new book, I have been asked on a number of occasions to describe what I mean by the title: “jump the curve.”
It is a fair question and when answering it I like to recall the words of that old sage, Albert Einstein, who once said that if a person—especially a scientist or technologist—couldn’t explain what he or she was working on to an 8-year old child then that person was either a fraud or a charlatan.
It’s an excellent test and because I have both an 8 year-old daughter and a 6 year-old son, I decided to put the topic of my new book to this test. Liking a challenge, I decided to see if my youngest child could comprehend the idea of “jumping the curve.”
Without using an example in the book, I asked my son, who has yet to lose any of his teeth, whether he would rather receive a single dollar for every one of his 20 baby teeth or if he would instead prefer to receive a single cent for his first tooth and then have that penny double for the next 19 teeth?
Being fairly good at numbers and knowing that his dad often likes to trick him, my son selected the second option—the penny doubling.
“Smart boy,” I proudly said. “Now, what if the tooth fairy gave you $5 per tooth?” (I was careful to suggest that I was not implying that the tooth fairy would leave him $5.) He pondered his options for a moment and, after calculating his total would come to $100, he selected the $5 option.
I asked him if he was sure and he confidently shook his head in the affirmative. “Well, son,” I replied, “I’m afraid that you have lost out on over $10,000.”
The look on his face was one of incredulousness, and that is precisely why I told him that he had to learn to “jump the curve.” Here’s how the chart reads:
1st tooth: 1 cent
2nd tooth: 2 cents
3rd tooth: 4 cents
4th tooth: 8 cents
5th tooth: 16 cents
6th tooth: 32 cents
7th tooth: 64 cents
8th tooth: $1.28
9th tooth: $2.56
10th tooth: $5.12
11th tooth: $10.24
12th tooth: $20.48
13th tooth: $40.96
14th tooth: $81.92
15th tooth: $163.84
16th tooth: $327.68
17th tooth: $655.36
18th tooth: $1310.72
19th tooth: $2621.44
20th tooth: $5242.88
Total: $10,485.75 ... or more than $500 per tooth!
To explain the concept of “jumping the curve,” I then drew him a graph and said that before a person can profit from any exponential trend he must first understand where that trend. The skill, I noted, “could be as significant as the difference between getting only $5 for a tooth or receiving $500.”
My broader point, of course, was that exponential advances are occuring in a variety of fields, including information technology, biotechnology, nanotechnology, robotics, brain scanning and even knowledge itself; and if he wanted to position himself for the future he would be wise to internalize this lesson now. The lesson is so important, I’d argue, that it is almost better than free money.
Interested in some other implausible ideas about the future? Check some of these past posts by Jack:
Voiceless Communication: It’s Coming and It’ll Augment Human Intelligence
The Robot Will See You Now
Operate on Yourself
57 Years is Now 41 Days
Death’s Slow Death
Self-Driving Cars
Do the Impossible
Enlarge Our Minds to a Space Elevator
Pong & The Future of the President’s Brain
Could You Really Love a Robot?
Do the Impossible: A Case Study
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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Future Technology & the Ability to Absorb It
I spend a great deal of time documenting how exponential advances in semiconductors, data storage, bandwidth, gene sequencing, brain scanning technology, robotics, algorithms and nanotechnology will fundamentally alter the business environment in the next decade. I am, however, aware of the fact that technology is already outpacing society’s ability to adapt to it. As such, I am always careful to temper client’s enthusiam about how quickly many of today’s emerging technologies will be incorporated into the fabric of our lives. (Frequently, I need to temper my own enthusiam as well).
To this end, I would like to offer this short history lesson which I pulled from Pip Coburn’s informative book, The Change Function: Why Some Technologies Take Off and Others Crash:
-- The first mobile phone in the U.S. was available in 1946.
-- The first video game was played in 1961
-- The first personal computer was built in 1964
-- The first e-mail was sent in 1971.
Some of this slowness is a result of people’s and society’s resistance to change, some of it is due to legal and regulatory issues, sometimes it is a result over legitimate business concerns over the cost and the effectiveness of early versions of the technology. (For example, iRobot’s Roomba vacuum cleaner is a great piece of technology, but many of us have a hard time coughing up $300 when a $5 broom still does a pretty good job.)
Bottom-line: Change does happen, but often it occurs a lot slower than most people generally recognize or appreciate.
P.S. Because I am a fan of thinking counter-intuitively, tomorrow I intend to write a piece that argues just the opposite—that technology adoption is actually speeding up.
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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Let’s Debate the Future, Please!
Elizabeth Edwards, the wife of former Democratic presidential candidate John Edwards, recently had a thoughtful opinion piece bemoaning the media’s lack of meaningful coverage of today’s important issues. To emphasize her point, she noted that many American’s can now tell you Barack Obama’s bowling score but can’t recite one major plank in his health care plan.
It is a valid criticism and I wholeheartedly agree with her critique but Edwards, the candidates, and the media are missing another serious issue—the accelerating pace of science and technological change.
More specifically, no candidate is approaching today’s important issues of health care, education, the environment and war from the perspective that the near-term future of all of these issues will almost certainly will be different—and perhaps radically so—because of the accelerating pace of technological change.
Let me provide just a few recent examples. Late last year, the Pentagon reported that it had begun arming robots with guns for the first time ever. It then announced, to little fanfare, that it intended to triple the number of robots in battlefield situations by 2010. And by 2015—a date that would place it near the end of the next president’s second term—the Defense Department has publicly stated that it expects one-third of the U.S. fight force to consist of robots.
If this holds true, it will be a shift of historic proportions and it would be helpful to have the three remaining would-be commanders-in-chief explain their thinking on the morality of machines making life-and-death decisions and, more broadly, whether they think the wide-scale use of robots might lead to more or fewer wars.
Earlier this year another scientific advance with profound public policy implications was announced when a handful of publications touted the remarkable amount of progress scientists are making in creating artificial life forms. According to the reports, most experts now agree that it is reasonable to expect a breakthrough in the field of synthetic biology within the next three to 10 years. One scientist was even quoted as saying “We’re talking about a technology that could change our world in pretty fundamental ways.”
To my way of thinking, anything that can change our world in “pretty fundamental ways” is appropriate fodder for discussion during a presidential campaign. These synthetic life forms are purported to be capable of wonderful things like fighting disease and efficiently creating new forms of clean, sustainable energy. However, they might also be used for more nefarious purposes. At a minimum, it would be helpful to hear how those now wishing to lead this country think about this issue and whether they want to boldly lead us into this brave new world or, alternatively, whether they want to prevent scientists from even attempting to explore synthetic biology’s potential.
In the field of health care, the advances are no else astounding. Earlier this week, a company announced that it had identified two new genes closely linked with breast cancer. If true, the test could be a godsend for some of the 180,000 women who are expected be diagnosed with breast cancer this year. Along with the scores of other such genetic tests now under development for a variety of other diseases, the field of genomics could revolutionize both the practice and the economics of health care.
Of course, such advances are just one field that will fundamentally alter health care in the coming decade. Stem cell research, biotechnology and nanotechnology—a field that the director of the National Cancer Institute has publicly said might “help eliminate the suffering and death from cancer by 2015”—are also all advancing at near a near exponential rate.
Finally, hardly a day seems to go by without some new advance being touted in the field of computers, Internet technology, voice recognition software, or the development of new immersive virtual reality and social networking technologies. It is not much of a stretch to think that these advances will deeply alter the educational environment of the future. Yet instead of hearing a word about how any of these new tools might transform education, all too often we are offered only stale platitudes about an issue which nearly everyone should be at or near the top of their agenda.
Maddeningly, though, the candidates seem oblivious to all of the aforementioned advances. As such, they are doing nothing to prepare the public for either the exciting opportunities or difficult challenges that these advances portend.
Not all of the blame for failing to address the future can be laid at the feet of the candidates. Few in the media attempt to pose thoughtful questions along these lines and most citizens are more naturally concerned with more immediate issues that confront them on a daily basis.
Alas, these are merely excuses. The truest test of leadership is a person’s ability to articulate a positive vision for the future and then move people toward action that helps turn that vision into reality.
Therefore, if the candidates or the media aren’t going to rise to the challenge it is incumbent upon those of us who believe these issues are critical to our future to take action.
To this end, I would invite all readers who feel this way to sign on as a supporter of ScienceDebate2008—an organization dedicated to trying hold a debate about scientific and technological challenges that face this country.
Moreover, I would urge like-minded individuals to begin speaking up about these issues. If our leaders won’t lead us then it is incumbent upon us who see a better future to create an environment where our leaders can at least follow us.
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Develop a Future Bias
In my new book, Jump the Curve, I make the case that one strategy for “jumping the curve” and helping your organization innovate into the future is to “develop a future bias.”
A future bias is the opposite of “hindsight bias” and hindsight bias is, quite simply, the idea that after an event occurs most people take credit for believing that the idea was pre-ordained and that they “knew” it would happen. For instance, by 1920, most citizens claimed they knew that man would “always” fly.
Unfortunately, this isn’t true. Most people were completely blind-sided by human flight. Lord Kelvin, the world’s most renowned scientist claimed in 1899 that “Heavier than air machines are impossible,” and no less an authority than the New York Times wrote in an editorial in December 1903—just two weeks before the Wright Brother’s historic first flight—that human flight would not be achievable for “1 to 10 million years.” My guess is that if a poll had been commissioned at the beginning of the turn of the 20th century the overwhelming consensus among the American public would have subscribed to similar opinions or, alternatively, something along the lines of “If God had intended man to fly, He would have given him wings.”
In the future, as a result of exponential advances in technology, many things that sound impossible today are, in fact, not only going to be possible they are going to be commonplace. Therefore, in order to embrace this future, it will be necessary to think exponentially—and not linearly—about the future. As Ray Kurzweil says in his book, The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, in the 21st century humanity will experience the equivalent of 20,000 years of change (using the 20th century’s rate of change). What he is trying to do in an indirect way is to get people to develop a future bias.
I recently came across this photo on Digg.com that shows the world as it is expected to look in 250 million years. I think it offers a wonderful metaphor for thinking about tomorrow’s world because tomorrow will be radically different from today. Therefore, one of the first steps a leader must take in preparing him or herself to lead an organization into the future, is to develop a future bias. To do so, it first helps if that leader can envision a world that will look radically different. Therfore, when thinking about the future, I would encourage the “Exponential Executive” to keep the above picture always in mind.
Related Posts
Reverse Your Thinking
Think 10X, Not 10%
Cultivate a Beginner’s Mind
Yet Another Visual Paradox
Train Your Mind to See Two Different Points of View—At the Same Time!
The Queen of Paradox: Robyn Waters
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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The Future of Food is Tiny
The famous artist Leonardo da Vinci once offered the following pearl of wisdom: “Study the art of science and the science of art.” It is advice that food scientists have taken to heart in spades. However, as a result of advances in the new emerging field of nanotechnology—which is briefly defined as manipulating atoms at the molecular level in order to make new products—scientists and other food professionals will now be required to apply their understanding of science to a level that is so infinitesimally small that it is hard to grasp. One nanometer is roughly 100,000 times thinner than a human hair.
But to professionals in a field where it is not uncommon that a pinch of a spice or a few extra seconds of heat to an ingredient can make the difference between a good meal and a great one, it will be important to understand that at the nanoscale the weird world of quantum mechanics kicks in and materials and ingredients begin to manifest entirely new characteristics, and it is scientists ability to manipulate these new and enhanced characteristics that lies at the heart of the fields ability to transform virtually every aspect of food. (For a good, short primer, I recommend this recent article describing Nestle’s use of nanotechnology to create foods with optimal stability, nutrient delivery, flavors and aromas.)
A New Shaper Knife
Today, the food scientist must concern him or herself with issues of health and nutrition, good and bad fats, sanitation, packaging and, of course, pairings, aromas, textures, sensations and flavors. The ability to apply modern science to culinary problems in these latter areas has sometimes called ”molecular gastronomy.” Nanotechnology will require culinlogists to take this skill to a new—and smaller—level.
Given nanotechnology’s immense potential, it is not surprising that over half of the top ten food companies in the world, including Campbells, ConAgra, General Mills, H.J. Heinz, Kraft Foods, Nestle, PepsiCo, Sara Lee and Unilever, are all investing heavily in the field. Their reason is simple: they all understand that by manipulating materials, packaging and food stuffs at the molecular level they can teach old food products new tricks. To this end, Cientifica, a European-based nanotechnology research firm, estimates that the value of all food products incorporating nanotechnology will soar 14-fold from $410 million in 2007 to $5.8 billion by 2012.
To many people, though, nanotechnology sounds as if it were still a far-off, fuzzy, futuristic technology. Nothing could be further from the truth. A number of real world nanotechnology-enhanced products are presently on the market and they are being utilized by savvy companies and chefs to gain a competitive advantage. To use a simple and appropriate metaphor, nanotechnology is creating a sharper knife. (In fact, Apollo Diamond has now manufactured a low-cost, high-quality synthetic diamond that could potentially be used to manufacture a sharper, longer-lasting knife.)
At a more immediate level, Honeywell and others have created new nanomaterials that allow packaging to keep food fresher for a longer period of time. By tweaking the molecular structure of the plastic, scientists have created an almost impenetrable barrier through which oxygen molecules cannot navigate.
BASF has created self-cleaning nanomaterials which are being used in both kitchens and in clothing to imbue sinks and uniforms with self-cleaning properties. And a company called Aspen Aerogels has created a new nanomaterial that has eight times the thermal insulation properties of the best material currently on the market. The implication is that if storage and packaging companies begin using the material, their products will be significantly fresher when they ultimately reach the kitchen.
In addition to nanomaterials, nanoparticles are also having a big impact on the food industry. For years, the anti-bacterial properties of silver have been well understood, but when silver is ground into nanoscopic particles these benefits are magnified due to their huge surface-to-area ratio. Some strawberry growers are already using these silver nanoparticles to keep their product free of fungal growth for an extended period of time.
And still another company, OilFresh, has figured out how to employ a new nanoceramic material to keep frying oil fresher. Beyond its immediate money-saving benefit (kitchens use about half as much as oil as they normally do), the device, which only costs $299 and can be easily installed and cleaned, also improves the final quality of the product because the oil stays more uniform throughout the cooking process. It even allows users to switch back-and-forth from seafood to meat without creating any carryover flavor. More importantly, because the device directs oxygen away from the oil and prevents the oil from clumping, it allows users to switch from hydrogenated products to healthier vegetable oils.
Tailored to Your Taste and Touch
As noteworthy as these advances are, the future of the food industry doesn’t simply reside in better packaging, self-cleaning knives, fresher strawberries or even healthier french fries. It rests in creating food that is personalized to the individual user.
To some extent advances in radio frequency identification (RFID) technology and nanosensors are providing people to more information about their food than ever before. For instance, in Japan RFID tags allow consumers to track from which herd and farm a piece of beef came from; to what that cow ate and whether it was administered any antibiotics; down to the date the animal was slaughtered and how long the product was in transit before it finally reached the grocery shelf.
As nanotechnology continues to make RFID tags smaller, better and cheaper, the type and number of products capable of being traced to this level of specificity will increase exponentially. It is even likely that the RFID chips of the future will contain a molecular diagnostic component that can rapidly assess any product for the presence of any disease, including E. coli, salmonella, Listeria or Campylobacter.
Alas, such advances are merely passive in nature. They allow consumers to know a more about their food and make better informed decisions; but such advances still fall well short of the vision of personalized food. Nevertheless, this is where things are headed.
Nutralease, a nanotechnology company in Israel, is now developing and selling nutraceuticals that are embedded directly in food products to deliver improved health results. Nanoparticles of lycopene, which is known to lower the risk of breast and prostate cancer, as well as nanoparticles of phytosterol, which is found in canola oil and is effective in lowering cholesterol, are now being sold to food companies for the express purpose of creating healthier products.
Still other companies are exploring the possibility of using dendrimers, which are synthetic nanoscale devices upon which any number of different molecules can be attached. Think of the nanoscale device as being a super tiny wine rack that contains an almost limitless number of different wines. But instead of just complimenting any meal, each molecule can be made to do something different. For instance, one molecule can imbue a food product with new aroma; another can modify the texture; and a third might deliver a cholesterol-lowering molecule directly to the consumer’s artery.
Longer-term, researchers in the field of nanotechnology are even hoping to develop foods which are personalized to the tastes and health conditions of individual people. The technology would work by wrapping individual molecules with a neutral coating—much like a coated M&M. Only instead of these different coated molecules all doing the same thing, each would perform a different function depending on its color.
The trick, of course, is to get each M&M to perform on cue, and nanotechnology researchers are attempting to address this issue by applying different levels of heat or light to each individually coated molecule prior to consumption such that if a consumer preferred a sweeter taste only the “green” coatings would absolve. If, on the other hand, a person preferred a sour taste, only the “red” coatings would melt away to release their inner content.
Nanotechnologists are even on the verge of figuring out how to release nutraceuticals and drug molecules in the presence of specific health markers. In this way, lycopene nanoparticles might only be triggered if a genetic marker for breast cancer was found or, alternatively, phytosterol would be released only if a protein marker indicative of a heart problem were found.
Only a Matter of Time
The benefits of nanotechnology are many, but the field will advance slowly if for no other reason that people have a strong personal and cultural bond with the food they eat. Moreover, many consumers are rightly leery of putting things into their body’s for which the long-term implications are only partially understood. The concern over genetically modified organisms is an excellent case-in-point.
The government, food companies and scores of academic researchers are investing aggressively in an attempt to address these concerns, and it will take some time for all of the issues to be addressed, but as they are the many unique benefits of nanotechnology will also become better known. As they do, food professionals can expect to be hearing a lot more about nanotechnology in the coming years. It is a small science but it will have a big impact on the entire food industry.
Related Posts
Nanotrend # 2: Fresher Food
Test Tube Food’s Mixed Future
The Future of Food Innovation
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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Test Tube Meat’s Mixed Future
Test tube meat. To many people, the idea is utterly repulsive and it conjures up bad memories of eating the processed slabs of “mystery meat” they were served in their school cafeteria many years ago. To others, the idea is nothing less than the most environmentally-friendly, politically correct answer to the world’s growing food shortage problem.
So what is the future fate of test-tube—or in vitro—meat? (The picture above is a real photo of a piece of meat grown in a lab.) My opinion is that it will start out as a niche product and overtime grow to become more socially acceptable as technology improves both the quality and nutritional value of the meat and the public comes to better appreciate its extraordinary environmental benefits.
This transition, however, will likely take decades. As a historical analogy, I would urge readers to consider the example of organic food. In the 1970’s and 80’s it was a small niche and was widely regarded as the purview of hippies and organics could only be found in local co-ops. In the late 1990’s, organics began to pick up steam and stores such as Whole Foods sprung up and began to cater to the growing demand. Today, almost every major food chain dedicates a portion of their floor space to organic foods and many, including SuperValu, are now releasing their own brand-label organic foods. (To the conservative grocery industry such a scenario would have seemed almost impossible even just 10 years ago.)
In-vitro meats are likely to follow a similar trajectory. Yesterday, PETA announced that it would be awarding a $1 million prize for the “first person to come up with a method to produce commercially viable quantities of in vitro meat at competitive prices by 2012.” And, as Wired magazine, recently documented in this article on in vitro meat, the field is receiving a good deal of attention from scientists across the globe.
Change is hard and I don’t expect most people to readily or easily warm to the idea of test-tube meat; but when one considers how much time and energy is spent feeding and raising animals—and how much waste is involved—I believe people will begin to see in vitro meat in a new and more positive light. In the distant future, as hundreds of millions of people around the world aspire to a middle class lifestyle and desire more meat in their diets but the world’s farmers can’t meet the demand (primarily because it takes 10,000 pounds of feedstock to produce a 1000-pound cow) in vitro meat could become an acceptable alternative.
Furthermore, it might even become the preferred choice for many people. This is because in vitro meat will be considered more environmentally sustainable because there will be no need for herbicides or pesticices. It will also be viewed as more ethical because no animals will be slaughtered.
In a world where more people desire meat but the public is growing more concerned about the environmental and ethic impact of feeding, transporting and slaughtering animals—in vitro meat could become the next “in” thing in food.
For related writings on the future of agriculture, I’d recommend these past posts:
Agriculture’s High-Tech Future
The Future of Agriculture
The Future of Bioenergy
Synthetic Biology: Creating a New Life Form
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, robotics, RFID, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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Invest in the Future of Energy
As regular readers know, in addition to authoring Jump the Curve, I also had another book, Green Investing: A Guide to Making Money through Environment-Friendly Stocks, published this past spring by Platinum Press.
In the past few days, BusinessWeek has run an intensive interview with me entitled ”Clever Plays in Cleantech” and today I appeared CNBC’s “Closing Bell.” The entire video can be viewed here.
Related Posts
A Grand Plan for Solar
Synthetic Biology: Creating a New Form of Life
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The Future of Health Care: Part 3 (Robotics)
Paul Saffo recently gave a talk to the Long Now Foundation entitled: ”Secret’s to effective forecasting.’ In it, Saffo argued that “inflection points are tiptoeing past us all the time.” To make his point, he used the example of how no robotic cars finished the DARPA Grand Challenge in 2004, but all 23 cars started and finished the race just a year later. (For readers interested in a more in-depth look at this exponential-like progress, I’d recommend this old post).
Saffo went on to advise forecasters to look for things that don’t fit. Using the earlier example, he noted how at the same time robotic cars were achieving their extraordinary progress; there was a massive 108 car pile-up of “human-driven” automobiles on a highway in California. Saffo’s point was that the two events point to a possible future scenario whereby robotic-driven cars become more feasible.
Well, I recently had a similar experience but instead of noting the progress in robotic cars, I have witnessed a flurry of articles documenting the amazing amount of progress being made in the field of surgical robots, and this progress juxtapositions nicely against the news suggesting that there is a growing shortage of trained health care professionals to serve America’s growing geriatric populations.
For example, this article discusses how doctors in France are now using a robotic anesthetist; and heart surgery will soon be quicker, cheaper, safer and more effective thanks to ”eye-controlled robots” and ”snake-like robots.” Longer-term, due to advances in accuracy, robots might even be able to conduct neurosurgery.
To understand robotics potential in the health care sector I would invite readers to consider the extraordinary progress Intuitive Surgical’s da Vinci surgical robots have made in the field of prostatectomies. In 2005, the company’s robots performed 1% of all prostatectomies. In 2007, they performed over 50%. More important, patients who were operated on by the da Vinci robot were released from the hospital in a day or two—as compared to a week for those who had traditional surgery.
The advance of robotic surgeries will likely continue to grow for two reasons. First, advances in haptic technology will continue to improve both how surgeons can “feel” and manipulate surgical robots; and, as the Internet and Internet2 continue to improve in terms of the amount of digital information that they can reliably transmit, the possibility for conducting tele-surgery with robots grows more possible. (To this end, the U.S. Army and DARPA are already exploring the feasibility of using robots to perform surgery on the battlefield.)
The health care establishment need not only concern itself with robots for surgeries. There are ample other opportunities for the industry to employ robots. In Colorado, a hospital is now using a robot to mix drugs and in South Korea they are even using robots to help train doctors to deliver babies. (Apparently, South Korea has such a low birth rate that there isn’t an ample supply of real mothers for doctors to learn on the real thing.)
At, at an even more basic level, iRobot’s Roomba and Aethon’s Tug robot can help hospitals keep their facilities cleaner. And longer-term, thanks to advances from Sony and Carnegie Mellon (which are both developing “human-centered robotics") it will eventually be possible for robots to relieve nurses from some the more mundane but essential tasks—such as serving food and conducting routine check-ins.
The bottom-line is that robots are growing more sophisticated and hospitals need to begin developing plans and effective strategies to use them because: 1) robots can do some jobs better, faster, cheaper and more safely than humans; 2) in some cases, hospitals may not have any choice but to use robots because there won’t be enough trained professionals to deal with the growing number of elderly patients who need assistance.
Related Posts
The Future of Health Care: Part 1
The Future of Health Care: Part 2
The Coming Health Care Revolution
The Robot Will See You Now
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future trends, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and associations.
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Cultivate a Beginner’s Mind
Thomas Huxley once encouraged people to: ”Sit down before fact as a little child, be prepared to give up every preconceived notion, follow humbly wherever and to whatever abyss nature leads, or you shall learn nothing.” I really like this quote because, as regular readers of this blog know, I think we can all benefit a great deal from ”thinking like a child.”
A correlary to this is the idea that “inexperience” is not always a negative characteristic. This is especially true if people’s experience precludes them from understanding how the accelerating pace of technological change might change their future in ways which are completely unexpected or maybe even foreign to them. To this end, I highly recommend this article, entitled ”Judgment Trumps Experience,” which appeared in a recent Wall Street Journal. One sentence in particular stands out for me. It reads: ”And often, especially in today’s dizzying world, we need to understand what Zen Buddists call the ‘beginner’s mind,’ which recognizes the value of fresh insight unfettered by experience.”
It’s a wonderful quote and in today’s “dizzying world” it is more appropriate than ever. Now, if you want to take this message to heart and become what I call an exponential executive, the question you must then ask yourself is this: What are you doing to cultivate your own “beginner’s mind”?
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Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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The Future of Travel is Bright
I recently had the opportunity to give the keynote address at the Recreational Vehicle Industry Association’s annual meeting in Hawaii. As you might imagine, with the price of gas hovering around $3.50 a gallon and the economy softening, the general mood was one of apprehension.
The same could probably be said for the travel and tourism industry in general. I, however, see a number of reasons why the future of travel is bright.
For example, the rising price of oil is making itself felt in the airline industry, but new technologies—including advances in new biofuels -- will help lower the cost of jet fuel over time. As it does, air travel will get a boost.
Much the same is true for automobile travel. Advances in cellulosic ethanol, biodiesel and advanced hybrid batteries will soon begin lowering the cost of travel and should spur people to make more and longer trips.
The travel industry need not depend only on advances in clean energy for a bullish future, though. A number of other technologies will soon begin making it easier for people of all ages and nationalities to travel anywhere in the world.
Undoubtedly, among the major deterrents keeping people from traveling today are concerns over safety. Progress in biometrics and sensor technology continue to improve airport safety; and the growing use of digital cameras (which now populate cities such as London), are having a noticeable impact on crime reduction and are helping rejuvenate certain areas. As the technology continues to improve and proliferate, some people who were reluctant to visit certain areas might be convinced otherwise.) As an example, recall how much tourism to New York City increased after safety improved in that city. Now just imagine the implications on a world-wide basis.)
In terms of increasing individual’s comfort-level with travel, advances in voice and speech recognition will soon allow many travelers to at carry out basic conversations with native citizens. To this end, IBM recently delivered 10,000 voice translation devices to soldiers in Iraq. The technology allows U.S. soldiers to speak—in real time—with Iraq citizens with a 90% accuracy rate. (For a longer discussion of this issue, I recommend this old post: ”What Language Will the Future Speak.") The bottom-line is if people know they can effectively communicate with residents in Paris, Shanghai, Mumbai, etc. they will be more comfortable traveling to those destinations.
Other trends that bode well for the travel industry include the growing health of seniors. Due to a variety of health care advances, many seniors are now actively traveling well into their 80’s. This trend will only continue to grow. (As a personal example, last summer my 75 year-old mother-in-law had hip surgery. Next month, she and my wife are traveling to Buenos Aires for 12 days.)
A trend somewhat related to this is what I call the “traveling worker.” Now, I understand that many people already travel extensively for work, but what I am referring to here is the idea that as professional, knowledge-based workers become empty-nesters, some of these people will continue to work but—because they can do much of their work from a computer and the Internet—they will also be able to satisfy their pent-up wanderlust at the same time.
Some people have recently argued that virtual meetings could have a negative impact on business travel. This is true to a degree, but I’d encourage the travel and tourism to think counter-intuitively about how the technology might actually bolster business. One way is that harried business executives and other work-a-holics might actually be convinced to take more vacations with their families if they knew in advance that they could stay in touch with their business colleagues through such virtual reality technologies. (On a side note, virtual offices set ups could become profit sources for hotels that cater to this need.)
Lastly, the continued growth of Web 2.0 technologies-- such as geotagging and photo-syncing-- in combination with advances in RFID technology should also spur travel. As people continue to have access to ever more information through smart phones—and these devices can communicate with an ever increasing array of objects from the surrounding external environment which will soon also be embedded with RFID chips -- they will be able to do everything from telling people where they are to educating them about what they are looking at. As a result, travel will become both easier and more enjoyable.
And that, in a nutshell, is why I believe the future of travel is bright. Thanks to a variety of new emerging technologies, travel will be less expensive, cleaner (or greener), safer, easier and more enjoyable.
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Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future trends, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and associations.
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The Future of Computing
The future of computing has many different aspects and it is not my intention with this post to provide a detailed explanation of each. Rather, I merely want to share with readers who are interested in the future of computing some interesting and provocative resources.
For those looking for a broad-based overview of how computers will change our lives, I highly recommend this detailed report by Microsoft Research entitled ”Being Human: Human-Computer Interaction in the Year 2020.” The second chapter, in particular, is very insightful and documents five major transformations: 1) The End of Interface Stability; 2) The Growth of Techno-Dependancy; 3) The Growth of Hyper-Connectivity; 4) The End of Ephemeral; and 5) the Growth of Creative Engagement.
For readers seeking a slightly more technical understanding of where computers are headed, I’d recommend this press release by Gartner, Inc. It covers a number of ”grand challenges” which will dramatically alter how future computers operate and are used.
Succinctly, the major changes are:
1. Never having to manually recharge devices.
2. Parallel Programming.
3. Non-tactile, Natural Computing Interfaces. (This corresponds with the Microsoft report.)
4. Automated Speech Translation
5. Persistent and Reliable Long-Term Storage; and
6. Increasing Programmer Productivity 100-fold.
As a way of thinking about how computers might change our lives in the near future, I leave you with these two article. The first explains how Linden Lab (the creators of SecondLife) is developing a hands-free interface for its virtual reality site. (Among others things this will allow you easily manipulate avatars.) The second article shows European researchers have demonstrated how users can “walk through” a virtual environment.
I close with these articles because, from my perspective, highly functional virtual reality technology has the ability to transform how we shop, go to meetings, interact with our friends; are educated; play video games and sports; and even how we receive medical assistance.
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Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future trends, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and associations.
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Reverse Your Thinking
I am often accused of being overly optimistic about the future. I’ll admit that it is a fair accusation, but only time will tell whether it is me or my detractors who are wrong.
As evidence of my optimism, however, I would like to show you this short two-minute YouTube video clip:
What I took away from it is that there is a new generation of very clever people who are figuring out how to use technology to help people change—and, in this case, reverse—their thinking. And this, in short, is why I’m optimistic about the future.
As Albert Einstein once famously said, “We can’t solve today’s problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.” Luckily, there is a world of bright, innovative individuals who are using technology to do everything from develop innovative new approaches to education; to creating new technologies to cure disease as well as produce affordable, clean sustainable energy.
Conventional wisdom and members of the existing political and corporate establishment (many of whom are more interested in protecting the status quo) will argue that these challenges can’t be met in a timely or affordable manner, but I disagree—I believe we need only reverse our thinking.
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Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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Think 10X, Not 10%
One of my favorite quotes comes from Kurt Yeager who once said: ”In periods of profound change the most dangerous thing is to incrementalize yourself into the future.” I was reminded of this quote because although I often speak to businesses about the future of technology, I frequently encounter push back from executives who are mostly interested in identifying ways to incrementally improve their businesses or products. In short, they are looking for improvements in the range of 10%.
I constantly remind them, however, that we are no longer living in an era of linear growth—a 10% improvement might have been sufficient to keep them competitive in the past, but it is no strategy if they desire to be in business in 10 years. To achieve that goal, they must be on the lookout for how 10X improvements will transform their business. (Ray Kurzweil, in this excellent editorial in today’s Washington Post, also emphasizes this point.)
To this end, I recently came across a couple of articles that highlight this point. The first addresses how a number of researchers are looking to increase data storage by “a factor of a hundred.” It is difficult to contemplate how a 100X improvement in data storage might transform education, media, advertising and even health care, but it is imperative that professionals in these fields start thinking along these lines immediately. Here’s why: according to this recent Technology Review article, a new type of memory technology that uses 99% less energy could be on the market within 18 months. In other words, in the near future not only will your iPod or cellphone be able to hold 100X data (perhaps all of your genetic data), it will also be able to operate using only one one-hundredth of the battery power of your existing device.
Data storage, of course, is just one field experiencing exponential growth—semiconductors, Internet Bandwidth, genomics, robotics, RFID technology, nanotechnology, and even brain scanning technology are all doing the same. With regard to the latter, late last year reseachers at Harvard University announced that they could illuminate brain neurons with 100 different colors -- a 20X improvement.
Now, you might not think that brain scanning technology will impact your business that much, but I would encourage you to think otherwise. As researchers learn more about how the brain operates you can expect these professionals to also develop new strategies for learning; to create more effective marketing and advertising campaigns; and even to optimize strategies for bolstering people’s decision-makings processes. Bottom-line: If you are just focused on a 10% improvement, you are already behind the curve. You need to learn to “jump the curve” because the future belongs to those people who can think 10X—or more.
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Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future trends, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and associations.
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The Future is So Clear … It’s Invisible
The Toronto Star is running an excellent article entitled ”Science has seen the future ... and it is invisible,” which profiles noted physicist, Michio Kaku—the author of the new book, Physics of the Impossible; A Scientific Exploration into the World of Phasers, Force Fields, Teleportation and Time Travel.
I’ll let the article speak for itself, but I want to highlight two quotes of Kaku’s because they fit quite nicely with the final chapter of my own new book, Jump the Curve. The chapter is entitled “Doing the Impossible” and it explains how exponential advances in technology will soon allow mankind to do a great many things which are today deemed “impossible.”
To this end, Kaku is quoted as saying ”In my own short lifetime, I have seen the seemingly impossible become established fact over and over again.”
He goes on to say that ”science is doubling 10 years.” Now, fans of Ray Kurzweil and exponential growth immediately understand the implications of this statement; but many people do not. So let me spell it out for you in more vivid terms: It’s is saying that everything we know today—about physics, biology, chemistry, the human body, etc—will represent just a fraction of what we will know in the year 2050.
(Here’s how you should think about it: Due to this doubling of knowledge, in 2018 everything we know today about science will represent just half of our future knowledge. In 2028, due to our continued accelerated understanding, what we know today will comprise only 25% of future knoweldge. In 2038, it will again be split in half (to 12.5%) and ten years after that our existing base knowledge (i.e. what we know today in 2008) will comprise just over 6% of future knowledge.
The implication of this is that as a result of all of this new found scientific knowledge, it is inevitable that we will be able to do many things which today seem impossible. Or to paraphase (and twist) the words of that 1980’s hit classic song, “The Future is So Bright, I’ve Got to Wear Shades,” the future will, in fact, be very bright but our technology—including invisible light-cloaking devices—will be so advanced no one will even need to know you’re wearing shades.
Interested in some other implausible ideas about the future? Check some of these past posts by Jack:
Voiceless Communication: It’s Coming and It’ll Augment Human Intelligence
The Robot Will See You Now
Operate on Yourself
57 Years is Now 41 Days
Death’s Slow Death
Self-Driving Cars
Do the Impossible
Enlarge Our Minds to a Space Elevator
Pong & The Future of the President’s Brain
Could You Really Love a Robot?
Do the Impossible: A Case Study
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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You Don’t Have to be a Brain Surgeon to See Where the Future is Headed
The National Research Council of Canada recently released some very interesting news describing the progress that it is being made with the world’s first MTI-compatible, image-guided neurosurgical robot. The device is dubbed the NeuroArm. Now, I’m no brain surgeon, but I have followed the progress that a company called Intuitive Surgical has been making in the field of robotic-assisted prostatecomies, and it might interest you to know that in 2005 the company was performing less 1% of all prostectomies. Today, it is performing over 50%!
The reason this is occurring is because the da Vinci robot (which is still controlled by a surgeon using a computer) is so precise that the surgury is only minimally invasive, and this allows the patient to leave the hospital in one to two days. Patients who have a traditional operation must stay five to seven days. Of course, this extra stay costs hospitals a great deal of money and they now have a vested interest in switching patients over to the robotic-asisted surgery. Not surprisingly, convincing patients to undergo a robotic-assisted operation has been made easier because they are not only told the scar will be much smaller but they will also get out of the hospital much sooner.
The NeuroArm and similar neurosurgical robots are the wave of the future. They may not be performing many operations today, but my guess is that just as Intuitive Surgical’s Da Vinci robots now control the prostatectomy market, neurosurgical robots will contol the brain surgery market in 5 to 10 years.
If you are so inclined, I recommend the following 10-minute video from Wired Science which shows how the da Vinci robot is now beginning to assist with heart surgery:
In an unrelated bit of Canadian-related medical news (apparently there must be something in the water in Canada that is causing them to embrace the future technology more quickly than their American colleagues), Canadian researchers have teamed up with IBM to make use of the company’s World Community Grid -- a vast network of personal computers and laptops that is the equivalent of one of the world’s fastest supercomputers.
The significance of this item is that the researchers have been able to analyze the results of a large number experiments on proteins. So powerful is the supercomputer that if the reseachers had had to rely on a regular computer to crunch the data it would have taken them 162 years! Using the World Community Grid they did it in two years!
It is a wonderful example of ”jumping the curve” because this research is likely to help medical researchers the world over better understand how defective proteins cause cancer in our bodies, as well as diagnose cancer sooner.
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Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, robotics, RFID, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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Tracking the Future … With Sensors
The picture to the right is from yesterday’s New York Times article entitled ”My Life in a Video” and it shows a dancer with a variety of sensors embedded in her leotard. Among other things these sensors can automatically control music to correspond with her dance tempo.
To be sure, it is a cool technology and I’m sure it will soon be showing up in some avant garde theatres; I, however, would encourage you to think even more broadly about how embedded sensors and RFID tags will soon transform our lives.
To do so, I invite you to read these two recent articles. The first is from Roland Piquepaille over at ZDNET and he explains how researchers at the University of Washington have deployed 200 antennas (RFID readers) to track the movements and activities of 12 students.
I would also encourage you to watch the six minute YouTube clip posted below. It is a little academic at times, but toward the end you will witness two exciting applications. In the first, a student hears a song that a colleague is listening to and he is able to instantly download it to his cellphone. In the second, the same student downloads information from a wall poster. (At a minimum, this latter application holds great relevance for advertisers and retailers who might soon be able to employ the technology to download electronic coupons to consumers as a means of either enticing them to purchase the product or, at least, receive more information about it).
The second article comes compliments of NewScientistTech and it describes how researchers at MERL (Mitsushishi Electric Research Lab) have outfitted a 3000-square meter office with 215 sensors. What is interesting about this system is that it is slightly less “Big Brothery” than the UW project, but is still has some really practical applications. For instance, by monitoring people movements, companies could gain a better understanding of how they might want to heat or cool a building (e.g. if few people use a certain space it could be kept cooler). At a more practical level I can envision how retailers and grocers might redesign store layouts (and product placement) based on information obtained from these sensors.
Like the UW project, this article also has a short two-minute YouTube clip. After watching it, you should get a better feel for how the technology works.
If you then put the content from the three articles (and two YouTube clips) together and consider how in the near future sensors may very well be embedded in our clothing; in our phones; and in the walls of our buildings, I believe a clearer picture of where the future is headed emerges.
As always, I’d be interested in your thoughts.
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Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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Stem Cell Field Gets a Boost
A few months back I wrote this article entitled ”Reality Stems Stem Cell Breakthrough.” In it, I urged people expecting miracle breakthroughs in stem cell research to keep a lid on their expectations for a variety of reasons which are outlined in the article.
Yesterday, however, Technology Review ran an insightful article entitled ”Selling Stem Cells.” What is interesting about the article is that it doesn’t focus on some great “potential” breakthrough, rather it explains how some seasoned stem cell researchers are now developing the tools needed to produce stem cells on an industrial scale.
From my perspective this represents a significant step because it suggests that the field of stem cell medicine is slowly maturing. Now, I would still advise readers not to expect miracle stem cell therapies to arrive anytime soon, but the timeframe 2015 to 2020 now appears reasonable.
Interested in other glimpses into the future of health care? Check out these past posts:
A Glimpse into the Future of Regenerative Medicine
The Future is About to Get Personal
The Coming Health Care Revolution
Visualize the Future of Health Care
Be Still My Virtual Heart
The Future of Health Care: Part 2
The Future of Health Care
Why the Health Care Sector Should Give a Rat’s Ass
Mayo Clinic Has Got Some Game
Hospitals Need to Get Plastered
The Future of Organ Sales
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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Agriculture’s High-Tech Future
I know, I know ... agriculture is already a high-tech industry. I don’t necessarily disagree with the sentiment, but the industry is going to witness even more technoligical innovation in the near future and if farmers want to remain in business they need to stay abreast of major developments in a number of different fields.
For example, this article from today’s New York Times briefly profiles Phytech, an Israeli company, which is placing sensors on fruit trees and other crops to provide real-time information to farmers. As the price of next-generation sensors continue to drop, farmers can expect to employ sensors to do everything from determine how much water a crop needs to deciding what the optimum amount of a pesticide that needs to be applied in order to do the job..
As advances in genomics continue, the agriculture industry will be further transformed. (For a more detailed look into genomics and agriculture, I’d recommend this old post.) NatureNews, for example, is running an interesting article describing how researchers have tweaked the E Coli bacteria to hunt down atrazine—a widely used herbicide . The significance of this development is that soon a major environmental issue for farmers could be resolved because designer bacteria may prevent a variety of pesticides and herbicides from seeping into the groundwater and polluting sources downstream.
The agriculture industry will also continue to change for another major reason—both land and crops will be soon be an important source of energy. The opportunity in biofuels and wind production is already established, but this is just the start.
Crops might soon be able to efficiently and cheaply produce ethanol, biodiesel and even hydrogen; and—thanks to advances such as this one—an acre of land might soon be able to produce two to three times as much electricity from wind power. Longer-term, advances in solar technology could also turn huge tracks of land into massive solar farms.
These advances are just the tip of the iceberg. Progress in robotics, RFID technology, synthetic biology and nanotechnology will also transform the agricultural industry. My point is this: If you thought farming has changed a lot in the last 100 years—and it has—this sweeping amount of past change pales in comparison to what awaits the farmer of the future.
For related writings on the future of agriculture, I’d recommend these past posts:
The Future of Agriculture
The Future of Bioenergy
Synthetic Biology: Creating a New Life Form
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, robotics, RFID, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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The Future of Manufacturing
The picture of the tiny device to the right appears relatively harmless, right? Well, if you are in the manufacturing business, you could be looking at the most disruptive long-term threat to your industry. That is because this little device—dubbed RepRap—is a replicating rapid-prototype printer.
I have written extensively about rapid prototype manufacturing before but the RepRap is a beast of different sort—it can theortically replicate and update itself. In other words, not only can the machine print out some basic physcial objects—such as cups, plates and various spare parts—it can also print out a copy of itself.
To gain a true appreciation of why this is so potentially disruptive to the manufacturing industry, I’d encourage you to read this recent article from ComputerWorld which explains how the RepRap is now an open-source project. This suggests that smart people from all around the world will continue to improve upon the device—for free.
This has two huge implications. First, as more people improve the RepRap, it will be able to “print” an ever increasing number of objects. Today, only basic objects can be “printed.” In the near future, however, more complex devices such as cellphones, computer circuits and perhaps even flexible polymer solar cells will be able to be printed from the comfort of a person’s home.
This, in turn, leads to the second and much larger implication—which is that a number of products might some day be able to be printed for free. This would be a paradigm shift of historic proportions. For example, what will happen to the energy industry if people anywhere in the world can simply download the software for highly efficient solar cells and then print those solar cells off from their RepRap for nothing more than the cost of plastic and silicon? At a minimum, it would have a hugely liberating effect on the vast majority of the world’s population which currently doesn’t have access to clean, inexpensive energy. (It would also have sweeping geo-political ramifications.)
The implications of this technology, though, aren’t limited to the energy and manufacturing industries. If a variety of objects can be printed at home, a large portion of today’s distribution network—everything from stores and middle-men to FedEx—will be impacted.
And, at a different level, the device might also usher in a new era for artists, designers and builders as they learn to use the device to build things that were previously unimagineable.
Interested in other future-related posts? Check out these recent posts by Jack Uldrich:
The Future is Cheap
A Race For Our Future
Insuring Our Future
The Future of Advertising is On the Wall
The Future of Food Innovation
The Future of Rural Health Care
Jack Uldrich is a writer, futurist, public speaker and host of jumpthecurve.net. He is the author of seven books, including Jump the Curve and The Next Big Thing is Really Small: How Nanotechnology Will Change the Future of Your Business. He is also a frequent speaker on future technology and future trends, nanotechnology, robotics, RFID, innovation, change management and executive leadership to a variety of businesses, industries and non-profit organizations and trade associations.
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The Future is on Hold … Until April 8
Dear Readers:
I will be on vacation from April 1 through April 8. In the meantime, if you just can’t get enough of my blog, I’d encourage you to check out some past edition’s of my monthly newsletter, The Exponential Executive.
Sincerely,
Jack Uldrich
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